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Frontline Immunotherapy with Response-Guided Subsequent Treatment in Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma

David M. Miller

2026-03-09

SoCO Research Forum · Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Frontline Immunotherapy with Response-Guided Subsequent Treatment

A Bayesian causal analysis of dose intensity, early benefit, and treatment de-escalation in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma.

Immunotherapy Response-Guided Treatment Treatment De-escalation Bayesian Methods
Program SoCO Research Forum
Presenter David M. Miller
Date March 9, 2026

Meeting recap

People represented 26 Unique people after reconnect and duplicate-name reconciliation
Median time together 80 min Half the room stayed at least this long
Stayed ≥ 60 minutes 69% Sustained participation in the Research Forum
🏅 Discussion standouts

A special thank-you to colleagues whose questions, critiques, and perspectives helped move the FIRST discussion forward.

David M. Miller Ann W. Silk Claire Verschraegen Vern Sondak
FIRST Research Forum presentation title slide

The clinical question

Frontline immunotherapy can produce rapid and clinically meaningful responses in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma. But once that response has occurred, an important question remains: how much additional treatment is necessary?

The FIRST analysis examines whether early treatment response can help guide subsequent management, including the possibility of reducing treatment intensity rather than continuing therapy according to a fixed duration.

Central Question

Can the response already achieved after frontline immunotherapy help determine what treatment a patient actually needs next?

Questions explored

Early benefit

How much information about subsequent outcome is already present after the earliest doses of immunotherapy?

Dose intensity

Does additional treatment meaningfully improve outcomes once an early clinical benefit has been achieved?

Response-guided treatment

Can subsequent management be adapted to observed response rather than determined by a fixed treatment duration?

Treatment de-escalation

Could selected patients receive less systemic therapy without compromising meaningful clinical benefit?

Why causal inference matters

Treatment intensity in FIRST was not randomly assigned. Patients who received fewer versus more doses therefore cannot be compared as if they had been randomized to those treatment strategies.

The analysis used Bayesian causal methods to address measured differences between treatment groups and to estimate clinically interpretable relationships between dose intensity, early benefit, and subsequent outcomes.

Methodological Principle

The relevant question is not simply whether patients who received less treatment did well. It is whether the observed data support a credible estimate of what might have happened under different treatment intensities.

Discussion themes

  • Early response as a potential treatment-decision landmark.
  • The relationship between cumulative dose intensity and subsequent clinical outcomes.
  • Scheduled dose intensity versus delivered dose intensity. Ann W. Silk raised an important limitation in the original analysis: simply counting doses does not account for treatment delays or other deviations from the expected dosing schedule. That discussion prompted a regimen-adjusted dose-intensity sensitivity analysis that standardized observed treatment exposure to the expected interval for each therapeutic regimen.
  • Confounding created by non-random treatment continuation and discontinuation.
  • Bayesian approaches to estimating treatment effects in observational treatment patterns.
  • The clinical rationale for response-adapted treatment de-escalation.
  • How these findings might inform future prospective trials of individualized treatment duration.
The Broader Idea

Instead of asking every patient to complete the same predetermined course of therapy, response-guided treatment asks whether subsequent management can reflect the benefit that an individual patient has already achieved.

Toward response-guided care

The broader goal of FIRST is not simply shorter treatment. It is a more adaptive treatment strategy: initiate effective systemic therapy, measure early benefit, and allow subsequent management to respond to the biology and clinical response of the individual patient.

Research Forum Presentation Archive

What happened next?

From Research Forum to publication

The discussion changed the analysis

The March Research Forum was not simply a presentation of work in progress. Feedback from the group materially changed the manuscript. In particular, Ann W. Silk's observation that dose counts alone could miss treatment delays and other departures from the planned schedule led to the development of a regimen-adjusted dose-intensity variable for sensitivity analyses. The final paper explicitly acknowledges that contribution.

Published July 20, 2026: Miller DM, Merkin RD, Kaufman HL, et al. Frontline immunotherapy with response-guided subsequent treatment (FIRST) in cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma: a Bayesian causal analysis of dose intensity, early benefit, and treatment de-escalation. J Immunother Cancer. 2026;14(7):e015029. doi: 10.1136/jitc-2026-015029
Read the publication

This is exactly why the Research Forum exists: putting unfinished work in front of thoughtful colleagues early enough that their criticism can still alter the analysis, improve the manuscript, and sharpen the scientific story.

Who joined us?

The attendance record is preserved as part of the meeting recap. The roster below is limited to names and institutional affiliations.

Attendance roster View names and affiliations
This roster records meeting attendance and institutional affiliation only.
26 people represented Alphabetical · affiliations from the SoCO lookup table
Name Affiliation
Aleigha R. Lawless Mass General Brigham
Ann W. Silk Dana-Farber Cancer Institute
Annie Chang Harvard Medical School
Claire Verschraegen The Ohio State University
David M. Miller Mass General Brigham
Elizabeth I. Buchbinder Mass General Brigham
Howard L. Kaufman Mass Eye and Ear
Isaac Brownell National Institutes of Health
Jacob Choi Northwestern Medicine
Kamaneh Montazeri Mass General Brigham
Karam Khaddour Dana-Farber Cancer Institute
Ken Tsai Moffitt Cancer Center
Manisha Thakuria Mass General Brigham
Mariam El-Ashmawy UT Southwestern Medical Center
Meghan J. Mooradian Mass General Brigham
Michael Wong Roswell Park Comprehensive Cancer Center
Ross D. Merkin Mass General Brigham
Ryan J. Sullivan Mass General Brigham
Sameer Gupta Mass Eye and Ear
Sanjay Chandrasekaran UT Southwestern Medical Center
Song Park University of Washington
Suzanne Topalian Johns Hopkins Medicine
Vern Sondak Moffitt Cancer Center
Vishal Patel George Washington University
William J. Benjamin Mass Eye and Ear
William T Reed MaineHealth
Society of Cutaneous Oncology Research Forum. Research discussions presented through the Forum may include work in progress and should be interpreted in that context.

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